Mike's Financial Blog

February 18th, 2011 2:27 PM

Many economists have said that the low rates are behind us. However what rate are they talking about? Is that the Prime rate, the 15 or 30 year fixed mortgage rate, the 10 year treasury bill or the Fed Discount Rate? Yes I have confused you on purpose and here’s why. When you listen to the news they could be throwing any and all of those rates around and they always relate it to mortgages. Remember the news people are the worst ones to listen to for financial advice, period. The news often comments about the Fed lowering and raising rates as though they actually control mortgage rates falsely leading consumers to think rates will go up or down when Ben Bernanke speaks. The Fed only controls the rate that banks get and that rate has nothing to do with your primary mortgage. Mortgage rates are market driven. In fact by the time Bernanke speaks the mortgage market may have already increased rates several weeks prior so you’d have missed the boat. In many cases by the time the Fed raises their rate mortgage rates could be coming down a bit. Your retail bank loan officers don’t know this, only a seasoned mortgage broker can help guide you through this.

So back to the question what will rates do? Well while it is true that our economy is showing signs of improvement and rates have come up in the last 4 months and it’s true that rates on 30 year fixed loans have been as low as 4% in 2010, 5% is still very low historically albeit not makings of a refinance boom. These are however 30 year fixed rates. Depending on your time horizon you may be interested in a lower rate 15 year loan or even a 5-7 year ARM if your plans are to move sooner. So if this fits you then rates are still very low in the 3-4% range! It is more important to compare your current situation to the available options and see if it makes sense for you. Every loan and situation is different. In addition there is no rule that you have to save 1 percent for it to make sense. Saving half a percent can save you hundreds per month. Actually rates can move around by as much as a half of a percent every month! However barring another Enron debacle or major war effort rates will continue their slow rise with dips along the way. With that in mind you should meet with an experienced broker now to see what makes sense. If it doesn’t make sense then maybe you can wait for one of those rate dips to lock in. I look forward to helping any way they can. Contact


Posted by Michael Shaw on February 18th, 2011 2:27 PMPost a Comment (0)

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June 27th, 2009 10:19 AM

Have you heard, the government is helping people stay out of foreclosure and get out of bad loans? Part of the stimulus bill included The Home Affordable Refinance. For people current on their loan who may be a little upside down there is hope! I say “might” because the window is fairly narrow and the refinance program is a new loan obtained through regular mortgage channels, i.e., Me! It depends on if Fannie or Freddie owns your loan. I can figure that out for you. You may even qualify without an appraisal or without documenting income! However if your payments have not been on time then you may need to look into a loan modification. If you think you are upside down but have been ontime on your payments contact me to see if the Home Affordable Refi will work for you!

Contact me with Questions| Refi Quote

 


Posted by Michael Shaw on June 27th, 2009 10:19 AMPost a Comment (0)

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June 27th, 2009 9:57 AM

It’s not very often low home prices coincide with historic low rates. I'm here to help you get in on these great deals. Don't think you can qualify? The truth is you can buy homes with 10% down, 5% down, 3% down even
No down in some case. And yes you can qualify! As long as you have
ok credit and some income...   With 3.5% down ppayments and credit scores accepted down to a 620 or lower it just as easy as it was in the 90’s. Since 100% financing is only available through limited government subsidies, many people are going the old fashioned way, gifts from relatives! In fact many people are simply waiting and saving up the down payment themselves...Gasp!

The news would have you believe that “credit has tightened” and banks aren't lending”. This is true when you are talking about commercial, auto and student loans, but not when it comes to residential mortgages. OK so long gone are the no income, no money, no credit loans. That still leaves everything else! And we probably won;t see deals this good in our lifetime.

Contact Me with QuestionsApply Securly Online

 


Posted by Michael Shaw on June 27th, 2009 9:57 AMPost a Comment (0)

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The truth is I can actually still get you 4.50% or lower. Mortgage rates don't change but the COST of each rate changes daily according to the market. There are always about 20-30 different rates available ranging between 4.25% and about 7.5%. In mid April 4.5% was about 4500 in costs, now it costs about 9,500! For the same $4500 you can now get about 4.875-5.00% So although rates havent changed 4.875% is more reasonable.  Shall I get technical?  First remember that banks do not own your loan they only service them for a tiny part of the interest. Wall Street investors are the ones that actually buy and own the mortgage and get the majority of the interest. They are always seeking good returns for low risk. If the return or rate isn't good enough compared to their perceived risk then they don't want to invest so lower rates become more expensive to attract investors. The extra cost is passed onto you in the form of points to off set the low rate (it does not go into the mortgage brokers pocket) See? Now you're getting smart! So the question becomes when does it make sense to pay extra? That is why I have developed a very detailed refinance analysis tool to calculate the exact answer. I provide that as part of every quote I do. My website has a basic refinance analysis calc but I have something more accurate that I will customize for you.

Posted by Michael Shaw on June 21st, 2009 6:35 AMPost a Comment (0)

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June 21st, 2009 6:22 AM
Well rates dipped down to 4.5% earlier in the spring but about Mid May they started the upward trend that most think will not be reversed. Remember the goverment has never been in control of mortgage rates. They can try and affect the market but they can't control it. Some of their plan did help rates get to 4.5% but the funny thing is all the money the government's spending is actually causing interest rates to rise. So they shot the housing recovery on the foot with their own stupidity. Now they have these refinance programs that could end upworthless because the rates may not good enough to refi if they keep going up!

Posted by Michael Shaw on June 21st, 2009 6:22 AMPost a Comment (0)

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